Multiple Myeloma
Multiple myeloma is a hematologic malignancy of plasma cells. The median age of patients at initial diagnosis is 65-70 years. For the assessment of a patients general health and for the choice of available therapies, not only the numerical age is important, but also a variety of other factors, such as comorbidities and frailty. Complications in therapy are often increased in patients with comorbidities. Therefore, a predictive risk score has been suggested to be highly useful, which takes these risks into account, rather than choosing therapeutic measures purely based on the numerical age of a patient. This seems also important for the management of therapy selections, therapeutic dose-banding and for the preservation of patients quality of life.
Previous studies at the University Medical Center Freiburg assessed different organ comorbidities of myeloma patients in their value to predict risk groups that differed in progression-free survival and overall survival. As significant prognostic factors for overall survival the following were determined: 1. reduced pulmonary function, 2. impaired renal function and 3. reduced Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS). Using these 3 parameters, the initial Myeloma Comorbidity Index (I-MCI) was developed: with 0 risk factors, an excellent prognosis was determined, with 1 risk factor, an intermediate prognosis and with 2 or 3 risk factors, an unfavorable prognosis was determined.
In order to develop and further improve this score, an even larger group of myeloma patients was analyzed. A total of 13 risk and comorbidity factors were thereby assessed. In addition to the 3 parameters from the I-MCI, age and frailty proved to be important prognostic factors. Frailty is defined according to Fried, which includes KPS, Time Up/Go, IADL and subjective fitness. With these 5 factors, in addition to unfavorable cytogenetics, the revised MCI (R-MCI) was developed and validated. Thus, the R-MCI provides a simple tool to classify myeloma patients into distinct risk groups based on their comorbidities: namely lung and kidney function, general condition, age and frailty, as well as unfavorable cytogenetics. This R-MCI may provide an orientation for upcoming treatment decisions.
Methods
The R-MCI is calculated from the regression coefficients of prognostic factors: lung and kidney function, Karnofsky performance status, physical frailty, age and cytogenetics. The underlying regression coefficients are estimated by means of a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model based on a backward variable selection. Score weighting results from rounded regression coefficients of the linear predictor (i.e. natural logarithm of odds ratios) multiplied by 5. To simplify this score, it was reduced to a 9 point scale. The classification into "high", "intermediate" and "low risk" patients is based on the 25% and 75% quartile of the R-MCI score determined in our population. For detailed listing of the weightings see: Table.
Literature